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Red99
150652.7
1069022.0
1061223.3
Blue129
3374.6
523520.8
330216.9
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions84105020406012014016099129

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+11
Teleop+42
Endgame+42
Fouls+30
AutonomousBlue +11
9Leave3
2Coral scored#5
10Coral points27
19Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +31
9Coral scored#18
32Coral points63
2Processor algae#2
2Net algae#2
12Processor points12
8Net points8
20Algae points20
52Total teleop83
Reef
3L4#9
2L3#6
3L2#5
3L1 · trough#3
15Game pieces#27
Bargelevel
16Cage & park16
16Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +30
12Foul points0
99Total score129

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
52.70.7
43.544.1
Auto11.9
Teleop32.5
End8.4
blue by 21.9
33
#1
74.62.6
61.363.9
Auto14.2
Teleop50.4
End10.1
Second
23.30.7
20.020.7
Auto6.2
Teleop13.8
End3.3
red by 2.4
5235
#25
20.82.6
11.514.1
Auto5.1
Teleop10.5
End5.3
Third
22.01.1
10.811.9
Auto4.9
Teleop13.4
End3.7
red by 5.1
3302
#41
16.94.3
14.819.1
Auto2.9
Teleop12.1
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
63%Auto oddsEarned40%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed10%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
51%Barge oddsEarned79%Barge oddsEarned