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Red98
925218.9
547811.6
353447.8
Blue59
552721.1
505333.0
528222.6
47%Model gave it53%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions58603040507080901009859

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+35Teleop
+33Endgame
+39Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
6Leave9
4Coral scored#1
20Coral points3
26Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +21
14Coral scored#9
50Coral points33
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#1
6Processor points6
8Net points4
14Algae points10
64Total teleop43
Reef
7L4#4
7L3#2
2L2#2
2L1 · trough#2
21Game pieces#12
BargeBlue +2
2Cage & park4
2Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +39
6Foul points0
98Total score59

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
47.82.1
32.034.1
Auto8.9
Teleop31.2
End7.7
red by 14.8
5053
#30
33.00.3
20.821.1
Auto6.0
Teleop22.6
End4.4
Second
9252
#32
18.93.5
14.918.4
Auto6.9
Teleop9.6
End2.3
blue by 3.7
5282
#16
22.60.2
13.213.4
Auto3.8
Teleop12.4
End6.4
Third
5478
#29
11.62.1
7.89.9
Auto2.7
Teleop8.2
End0.8
blue by 9.4
5527
#19
21.10.2
19.019.2
Auto4.4
Teleop14.5
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
24%Auto oddsEarned36%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
42%Barge oddsMissed29%Barge oddsMissed