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Red135
977635.9
46949.2
81836.5
Blue67
975111.7
521419.0
924555.5
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1316605010015020013567

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+6
+60Teleop
+56Endgame
+68Fouls
AutonomousBlue +6
3Leave9
3Coral scored#3
16Coral points16
19Total auto25
TeleoperatedRed +66
16Coral scored#9
56Coral points32
3Processor algae#0
7Net algae#1
18Processor points0
28Net points4
46Algae points4
102Total teleop36
Reef
7L4#3
5L3#5
4L2#3
3L1 · trough#1
29Game pieces#13
BargeBlue +4
2Cage & park6
2Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +68
12Foul points0
135Total score67

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
469
#15
49.20.3
44.044.3
Auto13.3
Teleop32.7
End3.3
blue by 6.3
55.50.1
45.245.1
Auto12.2
Teleop37.5
End5.7
Second
818
#12
36.50.5
37.137.6
Auto4.8
Teleop29.6
End2.2
red by 17.5
5214
#35
19.00.1
13.813.6
Auto3.3
Teleop12.0
End3.8
Third
35.90.3
28.628.9
Auto6.1
Teleop25.6
End4.2
red by 24.2
9751
#38
11.70.1
6.46.3
Auto3.9
Teleop5.7
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
79%Auto oddsEarned38%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed10%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
47%Barge oddsMissed53%Barge oddsMissed