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Red51
811521.3
26049.0
955830.7
Blue121
214548.5
872841.4
543642.8
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6213005010015020051121

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+25
Teleop+72
Endgame+70
Fouls+70
AutonomousBlue +25
0Leave6
2Coral scored#6
12Coral points31
12Total auto37
TeleoperatedBlue +47
8Coral scored#14
29Coral points52
0Processor algae#2
1Net algae#4
0Processor points12
4Net points16
4Algae points28
33Total teleop80
Reef
3L4#8
2L3#5
3L2#4
2L1 · trough#3
11Game pieces#26
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +70
0Foul points0
51Total score121

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9558
#20
30.72.4
28.125.7
Auto6.3
Teleop20.5
End3.9
blue by 17.8
48.50.0
44.244.2
Auto18.1
Teleop26.4
End4.1
Second
8115
#37
21.32.4
18.516.2
Auto4.5
Teleop14.9
End2.0
blue by 21.5
5436
#11
42.80.0
33.133.1
Auto8.0
Teleop25.7
End9.0
Third
2604
#40
9.02.4
13.611.3
Auto2.6
Teleop6.6
End-0.2
blue by 32.4
41.40.0
33.233.2
Auto8.6
Teleop30.4
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
22%Auto oddsEarned95%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed17%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
55%Barge oddsMissed71%Barge oddsMissed