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Qual 272025 FIM District Troy Event presented by Aptiv Foundation
Red58
496132.8
438419.1
57339.4
Blue101
499822.8
923728.3
22651.1
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions768505010015058101

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+24
Teleop+33
Endgame+43
Fouls+43
AutonomousBlue +24
6Leave3
0Coral scored#5
0Coral points27
6Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +9
7Coral scored#10
24Coral points35
1Processor algae#2
4Net algae#2
6Processor points12
16Net points8
22Algae points20
46Total teleop55
Reef
2L4#4
2L3#4
2L2#5
1L1 · trough#2
12Game pieces#19
BargeBlue +10
6Cage & park16
6Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +43
0Foul points0
58Total score101

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
573
#13
39.41.2
33.7→32.6
Auto8.3
Teleop26.2
End4.9
blue by 11.7
226
#2
51.11.2
40.4→41.7
Auto13.6
Teleop30.4
End7.2
Second
4961
#18
32.81.2
21.0→19.8
Auto4.5
Teleop27.5
End0.7
red by 4.5
9237
#8
28.31.2
17.4→18.6
Auto4.8
Teleop16.1
End7.4
Third
4384
#26
19.11.2
14.7→13.5
Auto4.0
Teleop14.7
End0.3
blue by 3.7
4998
#39
22.81.2
19.5→20.8
Auto5.2
Teleop15.3
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
75%Auto oddsMissed71%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
9%Barge oddsMissed35%Barge oddsEarned