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Red46
836415.9
506518.4
974712.3
Blue60
562323.1
771620.8
552721.1
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions487502040601001201404660

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+6
Endgame+8
Fouls+14
AutonomousBlue +3
6Leave9
0Coral scored#0
0Coral points0
6Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +3
6Coral scored#7
22Coral points25
0Processor algae#0
2Net algae#2
0Processor points0
8Net points8
8Algae points8
30Total teleop33
Reef
3L4#2
2L3#3
1L2#1
0L1 · trough#1
8Game pieces#9
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +14
6Foul points12
46Total score60

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5065
#34
18.41.7
14.813.1
Auto3.9
Teleop12.1
End2.3
blue by 4.8
5623
#21
23.11.6
17.916.2
Auto4.7
Teleop15.6
End2.8
Second
8364
#36
15.91.7
17.015.3
Auto3.3
Teleop10.8
End1.7
blue by 5.2
5527
#19
21.11.6
19.217.6
Auto4.4
Teleop14.5
End2.2
Third
9747
#23
12.31.7
13.211.5
Auto4.2
Teleop4.9
End3.3
blue by 8.5
7716
#28
20.82.7
23.120.4
Auto4.2
Teleop14.7
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
32%Auto oddsMissed55%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
49%Barge oddsMissed23%Barge oddsEarned