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Red74
975111.7
149843.8
353447.8
Blue36
547811.6
81836.5
1061223.3
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions817940506070901007436

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
+30Teleop
+40Endgame
+38Fouls
AutonomousBlue +3
0Leave6
2Coral scored#1
9Coral points6
9Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +33
10Coral scored#3
37Coral points12
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#0
6Processor points6
8Net points0
14Algae points6
51Total teleop18
Reef
6L4#1
2L3#1
2L2#1
2L1 · trough#1
15Game pieces#5
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +38
0Foul points2
74Total score36

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
47.80.1
34.134.1
Auto8.9
Teleop31.2
End7.7
red by 11.3
818
#12
36.53.8
37.633.8
Auto4.8
Teleop29.6
End2.2
Second
1498
#10
43.80.1
32.432.5
Auto8.2
Teleop25.6
End10.0
red by 20.5
23.32.3
20.718.4
Auto6.2
Teleop13.8
End3.3
Third
9751
#38
11.70.1
6.36.4
Auto3.9
Teleop5.7
End2.1
red by 0.1
5478
#29
11.62.3
9.97.7
Auto2.7
Teleop8.2
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
53%Auto oddsMissed41%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
78%Barge oddsEarned22%Barge oddsMissed