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Red128
1067219.3
436240.8
3374.6
Blue134
955830.7
20135.7
924555.5
60%Model gave it40%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13211950100150200250128134

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+2
+10Teleop
+20Endgame
Fouls+6
AutonomousBlue +2
3Leave3
6Coral scored#6
30Coral points32
33Total auto35
TeleoperatedRed +12
15Coral scored#10
55Coral points37
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#6
12Processor points6
12Net points24
24Algae points30
79Total teleop67
Reef
10L4#6
4L3#5
5L2#2
2L1 · trough#3
26Game pieces#23
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +6
2Foul points28
128Total score134

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33
#1
74.60.5
63.964.4
Auto14.2
Teleop50.4
End10.1
red by 19.1
55.50.4
45.144.7
Auto12.2
Teleop37.5
End5.7
Second
4362
#14
40.80.5
31.431.9
Auto10.5
Teleop26.8
End3.5
red by 5.1
201
#31
35.70.4
32.131.7
Auto8.4
Teleop23.0
End4.3
Third
19.30.9
15.116.0
Auto5.3
Teleop11.1
End2.9
blue by 11.4
9558
#20
30.70.7
25.725.1
Auto6.3
Teleop20.5
End3.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
72%Auto oddsEarned82%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
10%Coral oddsMissed10%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
80%Barge oddsEarned45%Barge oddsMissed