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Red100
438419.1
22651.1
214548.5
Blue41
923728.3
523520.8
26049.0
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12444010015010041

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+21Auto
+49Teleop
+59Endgame
+59Fouls
AutonomousRed +21
0Leave3
6Coral scored#1
30Coral points6
30Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +28
8Coral scored#4
30Coral points16
1Processor algae#0
3Net algae#1
6Processor points0
12Net points4
18Algae points4
48Total teleop20
Reef
4L4#2
6L3#1
2L2#1
2L1 · trough#1
18Game pieces#6
BargeRed +10
16Cage & park6
16Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +59
6Foul points6
100Total score41

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
226
#2
51.10.8
41.740.9
Auto13.6
Teleop30.4
End7.2
red by 22.9
28.31.2
18.617.4
Auto4.8
Teleop16.1
End7.4
Second
48.50.8
44.243.5
Auto18.1
Teleop26.4
End4.1
red by 27.7
5235
#25
20.81.2
14.112.9
Auto5.1
Teleop10.5
End5.3
Third
4384
#26
19.10.8
13.512.7
Auto4.0
Teleop14.7
End0.3
red by 10.1
2604
#40
9.01.9
11.39.3
Auto2.6
Teleop6.6
End-0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
96%Auto oddsEarned16%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
14%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
25%Barge oddsEarned30%Barge oddsMissed