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Red102
523520.8
1067219.3
496132.8
Blue122
436240.8
506518.4
353447.8
5%Model gave it95%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5398204080120140160102122

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+22
Teleop+28
Endgame+38
Fouls+20
AutonomousBlue +22
3Leave3
2Coral scored#6
9Coral points31
12Total auto34
TeleoperatedBlue +6
12Coral scored#17
44Coral points60
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#2
12Processor points6
12Net points8
24Algae points14
68Total teleop74
Reef
6L4#6
3L3#9
2L2#3
3L1 · trough#5
19Game pieces#26
BargeBlue +10
4Cage & park14
4Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +20
18Foul points0
102Total score122

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4961
#18
32.81.8
19.821.6
Auto4.5
Teleop27.5
End0.7
blue by 15.1
47.82.5
34.136.6
Auto8.9
Teleop31.2
End7.7
Second
5235
#25
20.81.8
12.914.7
Auto5.1
Teleop10.5
End5.3
blue by 20.0
4362
#14
40.82.5
31.934.4
Auto10.5
Teleop26.8
End3.5
Third
19.33.0
16.019.0
Auto5.3
Teleop11.1
End2.9
red by 0.9
5065
#34
18.44.1
13.117.2
Auto3.9
Teleop12.1
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
16%Auto oddsEarned20%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
24%Barge oddsEarned35%Barge oddsEarned