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Red66
974712.3
547811.6
543642.8
Blue107
20135.7
81836.5
923728.3
3%Model gave it97%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions509802040608012014066107

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
Teleop+39
Endgame+39
Fouls+41
AutonomousBlue +14
9Leave6
0Coral scored#3
0Coral points17
9Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +25
9Coral scored#12
31Coral points42
1Processor algae#2
1Net algae#3
6Processor points12
4Net points12
10Algae points24
41Total teleop66
Reef
4L4#5
2L3#4
2L2#3
1L1 · trough#3
11Game pieces#20
Bargelevel
16Cage & park16
16Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +41
0Foul points2
66Total score107

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5436
#11
42.80.5
33.434.0
Auto8.0
Teleop25.7
End9.0
red by 6.3
818
#12
36.51.8
33.835.6
Auto4.8
Teleop29.6
End2.2
Second
9747
#23
12.30.9
11.512.4
Auto4.2
Teleop4.9
End3.3
blue by 23.4
201
#31
35.71.1
31.732.8
Auto8.4
Teleop23.0
End4.3
Third
5478
#29
11.60.5
7.78.2
Auto2.7
Teleop8.2
End0.8
blue by 16.6
28.31.1
17.418.5
Auto4.8
Teleop16.1
End7.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
53%Auto oddsMissed77%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
76%Barge oddsEarned17%Barge oddsEarned