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Red76
150652.7
543642.8
771620.8
Blue136
924555.5
1069022.0
22651.1
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11210205015020076136

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+10
Teleop+60
Endgame+60
Fouls+60
AutonomousBlue +10
3Leave9
2Coral scored#3
10Coral points14
13Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +50
8Coral scored#21
27Coral points75
0Processor algae#1
3Net algae#2
0Processor points6
12Net points8
12Algae points14
39Total teleop89
Reef
4L4#9
3L3#6
2L2#7
1L1 · trough#2
13Game pieces#27
Bargelevel
24Cage & park24
24Total endgame24
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +60
0Foul points0
76Total score136

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
52.71.6
46.244.6
Auto11.9
Teleop32.5
End8.4
blue by 2.8
55.52.9
35.438.3
Auto12.2
Teleop37.5
End5.7
Second
5436
#11
42.81.6
35.033.4
Auto8.0
Teleop25.7
End9.0
blue by 8.3
226
#2
51.12.9
38.941.9
Auto13.6
Teleop30.4
End7.2
Third
7716
#28
20.82.7
19.316.6
Auto4.2
Teleop14.7
End1.8
blue by 1.2
22.06.6
29.322.7
Auto4.9
Teleop13.4
End3.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
73%Auto oddsEarned84%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
89%Barge oddsEarned66%Barge oddsEarned