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Red92
436240.8
1061223.3
552721.1
Blue95
872841.4
836415.9
923728.3
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions586901002003004005009295

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+11Auto
+1Teleop
Endgame+3
Fouls+3
AutonomousRed +11
6Leave6
3Coral scored#1
17Coral points6
23Total auto12
TeleoperatedBlue +10
9Coral scored#16
33Coral points57
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#1
12Processor points6
12Net points4
24Algae points10
57Total teleop67
Reef
6L4#5
2L3#5
3L2#4
1L1 · trough#3
17Game pieces#19
BargeBlue +4
12Cage & park16
12Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +3
0Foul points0
92Total score95

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4362
#14
40.82.6
25.828.4
Auto10.5
Teleop26.8
End3.5
blue by 0.6
41.42.4
28.430.8
Auto8.6
Teleop30.4
End2.4
Second
23.32.6
17.219.8
Auto6.2
Teleop13.8
End3.3
blue by 5.0
28.32.4
15.718.1
Auto4.8
Teleop16.1
End7.4
Third
5527
#19
21.12.6
9.712.4
Auto4.4
Teleop14.5
End2.2
red by 5.2
8364
#36
15.93.9
15.419.3
Auto3.3
Teleop10.8
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
41%Auto oddsEarned43%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
16%Barge oddsMissed15%Barge oddsEarned