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Red150
3374.6
1061223.3
977635.9
Blue84
547811.6
811521.3
436240.8
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13155010015020015084

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+60Teleop
+72Endgame
+66Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
0Leave9
5Coral scored#3
26Coral points14
26Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +57
19Coral scored#10
70Coral points35
3Processor algae#2
5Net algae#1
18Processor points12
20Net points4
38Algae points16
108Total teleop51
Reef
12L4#6
4L3#2
4L2#3
4L1 · trough#2
32Game pieces#16
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +66
0Foul points6
150Total score84

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33
#1
74.62.6
63.466.1
Auto14.2
Teleop50.4
End10.1
red by 33.8
4362
#14
40.81.3
34.435.7
Auto10.5
Teleop26.8
End3.5
Second
35.92.6
26.829.4
Auto6.1
Teleop25.6
End4.2
red by 14.6
8115
#37
21.32.2
15.918.1
Auto4.5
Teleop14.9
End2.0
Third
23.32.6
20.122.7
Auto6.2
Teleop13.8
End3.3
red by 11.7
5478
#29
11.61.3
8.29.5
Auto2.7
Teleop8.2
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
96%Auto oddsEarned33%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
10%Coral oddsEarned3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
72%Barge oddsEarned38%Barge oddsMissed