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Red147
872841.4
552721.1
149843.8
Blue172
543642.8
353447.8
438419.1
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions97936080120140160147172

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+1
Endgame+11
Fouls+25
Autonomouslevel
0Leave6
5Coral scored#3
23Coral points17
23Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +1
22Coral scored#25
80Coral points89
3Processor algae#1
5Net algae#6
18Processor points6
20Net points24
38Algae points30
118Total teleop119
Reef
13L4#10
7L3#9
4L2#5
3L1 · trough#4
35Game pieces#35
BargeBlue +10
6Cage & park16
6Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +25
0Foul points14
147Total score172

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1498
#10
43.82.7
33.436.1
Auto8.2
Teleop25.6
End10.0
blue by 4.1
47.83.2
36.639.8
Auto8.9
Teleop31.2
End7.7
Second
41.42.7
34.637.3
Auto8.6
Teleop30.4
End2.4
blue by 1.4
5436
#11
42.83.2
34.037.1
Auto8.0
Teleop25.7
End9.0
Third
5527
#19
21.12.7
17.720.4
Auto4.4
Teleop14.5
End2.2
red by 2.0
4384
#26
19.13.2
11.915.1
Auto4.0
Teleop14.7
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
84%Auto oddsEarned65%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
62%Barge oddsMissed71%Barge oddsEarned