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Red78
521419.0
330216.9
20135.7
Blue110
552721.1
836415.9
22651.1
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6684406010012014078110

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+22
Endgame+32
Fouls+32
AutonomousBlue +3
6Leave9
3Coral scored#3
14Coral points14
20Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +19
9Coral scored#13
34Coral points47
1Processor algae#2
3Net algae#3
6Processor points12
12Net points12
18Algae points24
52Total teleop71
Reef
5L4#8
2L3#3
3L2#3
2L1 · trough#2
16Game pieces#21
BargeBlue +10
6Cage & park16
6Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +32
0Foul points0
78Total score110

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
201
#31
35.70.3
32.032.3
Auto8.4
Teleop23.0
End4.3
blue by 15.5
226
#2
51.11.5
42.844.3
Auto13.6
Teleop30.4
End7.2
Second
5214
#35
19.00.5
18.218.7
Auto3.3
Teleop12.0
End3.8
blue by 2.0
5527
#19
21.11.5
20.421.9
Auto4.4
Teleop14.5
End2.2
Third
3302
#41
16.90.5
14.214.6
Auto2.9
Teleop12.1
End1.9
red by 1.0
8364
#36
15.92.3
12.614.9
Auto3.3
Teleop10.8
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
57%Auto oddsMissed52%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
34%Barge oddsMissed58%Barge oddsEarned