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Red85
81836.5
543642.8
528222.6
Blue43
1069022.0
771620.8
26049.0
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions108380501502008543

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+30Teleop
+42Endgame
+42Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
3Leave0
2Coral scored#2
9Coral points9
12Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +27
9Coral scored#6
31Coral points22
2Processor algae#1
4Net algae#1
12Processor points6
16Net points4
28Algae points10
59Total teleop32
Reef
3L4#3
4L3#2
3L2#1
1L1 · trough#2
17Game pieces#10
BargeRed +12
14Cage & park2
14Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +42
0Foul points0
85Total score43

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5436
#11
42.80.2
37.136.9
Auto8.0
Teleop25.7
End9.0
red by 20.8
22.00.3
13.413.7
Auto4.9
Teleop13.4
End3.7
Second
818
#12
36.50.3
34.734.4
Auto4.8
Teleop29.6
End2.2
red by 15.7
7716
#28
20.80.3
17.718.0
Auto4.2
Teleop14.7
End1.8
Third
5282
#16
22.60.2
15.815.7
Auto3.8
Teleop12.4
End6.4
red by 13.6
2604
#40
9.00.3
8.69.0
Auto2.6
Teleop6.6
End-0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
76%Auto oddsEarned16%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
74%Barge oddsEarned26%Barge oddsMissed