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Red181
149843.8
3374.6
924555.5
Blue57
1061223.3
1065221.8
925218.9
100%Model gave it0%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions17558010015020025018157

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+106Teleop
+124Endgame
+124Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
6Leave3
5Coral scored#2
23Coral points12
29Total auto15
TeleoperatedRed +92
28Coral scored#8
100Coral points28
2Processor algae#0
4Net algae#2
12Processor points0
16Net points8
28Algae points8
128Total teleop36
Reef
16L4#5
10L3#3
4L2#1
3L1 · trough#1
39Game pieces#12
BargeRed +18
24Cage & park6
24Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +124
0Foul points0
181Total score57

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33
#1
74.62.0
66.168.1
Auto14.2
Teleop50.4
End10.1
red by 51.3
23.30.4
22.722.3
Auto6.2
Teleop13.8
End3.3
Second
55.52.0
48.350.3
Auto12.2
Teleop37.5
End5.7
red by 33.7
21.80.7
18.918.2
Auto3.6
Teleop15.4
End2.9
Third
1498
#10
43.82.0
36.138.1
Auto8.2
Teleop25.6
End10.0
red by 24.9
9252
#32
18.90.6
22.021.4
Auto6.9
Teleop9.6
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
96%Auto oddsEarned83%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
30%Coral oddsEarned7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
97%Barge oddsEarned30%Barge oddsMissed