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Red77
505333.0
1067219.3
923728.3
Blue78
771620.8
1065221.8
872841.4
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions80875060701001101201307778

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+11
Endgame+1
Fouls+1
AutonomousBlue +7
6Leave9
1Coral scored#2
6Coral points10
12Total auto19
TeleoperatedBlue +4
10Coral scored#9
37Coral points31
1Processor algae#2
2Net algae#3
6Processor points12
8Net points12
14Algae points24
51Total teleop55
Reef
4L4#3
2L3#3
3L2#3
2L1 · trough#2
14Game pieces#16
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +1
0Foul points0
77Total score78

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5053
#30
33.00.8
25.226.0
Auto6.0
Teleop22.6
End4.4
blue by 8.4
41.40.2
38.939.1
Auto8.6
Teleop30.4
End2.4
Second
28.30.6
22.423.0
Auto4.8
Teleop16.1
End7.4
red by 6.4
21.80.3
18.218.5
Auto3.6
Teleop15.4
End2.9
Third
19.30.8
20.721.5
Auto5.3
Teleop11.1
End2.9
blue by 1.5
7716
#28
20.80.3
18.018.3
Auto4.2
Teleop14.7
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
65%Auto oddsEarned69%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
36%Barge oddsEarned17%Barge oddsMissed