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Red95
438419.1
330216.9
436240.8
Blue64
506518.4
521419.0
543642.8
44%Model gave it56%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions76820501001509564

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
+39Teleop
+31Endgame
+31Fouls
AutonomousBlue +3
6Leave9
1Coral scored#1
3Coral points3
9Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +42
18Coral scored#6
64Coral points22
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#3
6Processor points6
12Net points12
18Algae points18
82Total teleop40
Reef
5L4#2
5L3#3
5L2#1
4L1 · trough#1
23Game pieces#11
BargeBlue +8
4Cage & park12
4Total endgame12
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +31
0Foul points0
95Total score64

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4362
#14
40.81.0
36.237.2
Auto10.5
Teleop26.8
End3.5
blue by 2.0
5436
#11
42.80.6
36.936.3
Auto8.0
Teleop25.7
End9.0
Second
4384
#26
19.11.0
14.615.5
Auto4.0
Teleop14.7
End0.3
red by 0.1
5214
#35
19.00.9
18.717.8
Auto3.3
Teleop12.0
End3.8
Third
3302
#41
16.91.4
14.616.0
Auto2.9
Teleop12.1
End1.9
blue by 1.5
5065
#34
18.40.9
14.613.7
Auto3.9
Teleop12.1
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
26%Auto oddsMissed43%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
20%Barge oddsMissed61%Barge oddsMissed