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Red135
22651.1
1061223.3
955830.7
Blue164
353447.8
214548.5
496132.8
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10913880100120160180200220135164

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
Teleop+31
Endgame+31
Fouls+29
AutonomousBlue +4
9Leave6
3Coral scored#5
17Coral points24
26Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +27
16Coral scored#24
57Coral points86
2Processor algae#3
6Net algae#4
12Processor points18
24Net points16
36Algae points34
93Total teleop120
Reef
6L4#7
6L3#7
4L2#9
3L1 · trough#6
27Game pieces#36
Bargelevel
14Cage & park14
14Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +29
2Foul points0
135Total score164

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
226
#2
51.11.5
44.345.7
Auto13.6
Teleop30.4
End7.2
red by 2.6
48.52.1
46.048.0
Auto18.1
Teleop26.4
End4.1
Second
9558
#20
30.71.9
26.728.6
Auto6.3
Teleop20.5
End3.9
blue by 17.1
47.82.1
41.543.6
Auto8.9
Teleop31.2
End7.7
Third
23.31.5
22.323.7
Auto6.2
Teleop13.8
End3.3
blue by 9.5
4961
#18
32.82.1
29.631.6
Auto4.5
Teleop27.5
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
92%Auto oddsEarned88%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed8%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
49%Barge oddsEarned38%Barge oddsEarned