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Red53
330216.9
562323.1
547811.6
Blue176
872841.4
924555.5
438419.1
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions46130010015020053176

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+23
Teleop+109
Endgame+121
Fouls+123
AutonomousBlue +23
9Leave6
0Coral scored#5
0Coral points26
9Total auto32
TeleoperatedBlue +86
7Coral scored#27
24Coral points98
0Processor algae#2
4Net algae#4
0Processor points12
16Net points16
16Algae points28
40Total teleop126
Reef
3L4#15
1L3#9
2L2#3
1L1 · trough#5
11Game pieces#38
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +123
0Foul points2
53Total score176

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5623
#21
23.11.0
20.219.2
Auto4.7
Teleop15.6
End2.8
blue by 32.4
55.53.3
50.353.6
Auto12.2
Teleop37.5
End5.7
Second
3302
#41
16.91.3
16.014.8
Auto2.9
Teleop12.1
End1.9
blue by 24.6
41.43.3
39.142.4
Auto8.6
Teleop30.4
End2.4
Third
5478
#29
11.61.0
12.211.3
Auto2.7
Teleop8.2
End0.8
blue by 7.5
4384
#26
19.13.3
15.518.8
Auto4.0
Teleop14.7
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
15%Auto oddsMissed89%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
2%Coral oddsMissed14%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
23%Barge oddsMissed17%Barge oddsEarned