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Red58
552721.1
925218.9
521419.0
Blue91
26049.0
974712.3
57339.4
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions70740501001502005891

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
Teleop+21
Endgame+21
Fouls+33
AutonomousBlue +4
6Leave6
1Coral scored#2
6Coral points10
12Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +17
6Coral scored#10
20Coral points35
1Processor algae#0
2Net algae#4
6Processor points0
8Net points16
14Algae points16
34Total teleop51
Reef
4L4#5
1L3#3
1L2#2
1L1 · trough#2
10Game pieces#16
Bargelevel
6Cage & park6
6Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +33
6Foul points18
58Total score91

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5527
#19
21.11.3
23.021.7
Auto4.4
Teleop14.5
End2.2
blue by 18.4
573
#13
39.40.1
38.538.6
Auto8.3
Teleop26.2
End4.9
Second
5214
#35
19.01.7
17.816.1
Auto3.3
Teleop12.0
End3.8
red by 6.7
9747
#23
12.30.2
16.316.5
Auto4.2
Teleop4.9
End3.3
Third
9252
#32
18.91.7
21.419.7
Auto6.9
Teleop9.6
End2.3
red by 9.9
2604
#40
9.00.2
8.58.7
Auto2.6
Teleop6.6
End-0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
75%Auto oddsEarned56%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
28%Barge oddsMissed46%Barge oddsMissed