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Qual 652025 FIM District Troy Event presented by Aptiv Foundation
Red201
528222.6
506518.4
3374.6
Blue121
836415.9
543642.8
46949.2
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10911080100120140160180200201121

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
+8Teleop
+18Endgame
+80Fouls
AutonomousBlue +4
3Leave6
3Coral scored#3
16Coral points17
19Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +12
19Coral scored#12
70Coral points42
2Processor algae#2
2Net algae#6
12Processor points12
8Net points24
20Algae points36
90Total teleop78
Reef
10L4#7
8L3#3
2L2#3
2L1 · trough#2
26Game pieces#23
BargeRed +10
24Cage & park14
24Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +80
68Foul points6
201Total score121

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33
#1
74.62.2
69.3→71.5
Auto14.2
Teleop50.4
End10.1
red by 25.4
469
#15
49.20.9
50.2→51.1
Auto13.3
Teleop32.7
End3.3
Second
5282
#16
22.62.2
17.5→19.7
Auto3.8
Teleop12.4
End6.4
blue by 20.2
5436
#11
42.80.9
36.3→37.3
Auto8.0
Teleop25.7
End9.0
Third
5065
#34
18.42.9
13.7→16.6
Auto3.9
Teleop12.1
End2.3
red by 2.5
8364
#36
15.91.2
14.4→15.7
Auto3.3
Teleop10.8
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
77%Auto oddsEarned76%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
13%Coral oddsEarned4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
70%Barge oddsEarned73%Barge oddsEarned