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Red108
3374.6
552721.1
547811.6
Blue89
496132.8
771620.8
811521.3
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions122755010015020010889

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+13Teleop
+17Endgame
+19Fouls
Autonomouslevel
3Leave9
3Coral scored#1
13Coral points7
16Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +13
13Coral scored#15
48Coral points53
2Processor algae#1
6Net algae#3
12Processor points6
24Net points12
36Algae points18
84Total teleop71
Reef
5L4#4
5L3#6
3L2#3
3L1 · trough#3
24Game pieces#20
BargeRed +4
6Cage & park2
6Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +19
2Foul points0
108Total score89

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33
#1
74.60.1
71.571.4
Auto14.2
Teleop50.4
End10.1
red by 41.9
4961
#18
32.81.0
31.632.6
Auto4.5
Teleop27.5
End0.7
Second
5527
#19
21.10.1
21.721.6
Auto4.4
Teleop14.5
End2.2
blue by 0.3
8115
#37
21.31.2
19.720.9
Auto4.5
Teleop14.9
End2.0
Third
5478
#29
11.60.1
11.311.2
Auto2.7
Teleop8.2
End0.8
blue by 9.2
7716
#28
20.81.2
20.721.8
Auto4.2
Teleop14.7
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
85%Auto oddsEarned66%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
18%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
76%Barge oddsMissed35%Barge oddsMissed