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Red102
923728.3
955830.7
506518.4
Blue139
330216.9
1069022.0
353447.8
38%Model gave it62%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8796406080120140160102139

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+8
Teleop+29
Endgame+19
Fouls+37
AutonomousBlue +8
6Leave3
2Coral scored#4
9Coral points20
15Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +21
11Coral scored#13
41Coral points48
1Processor algae#2
2Net algae#4
6Processor points12
8Net points16
14Algae points28
55Total teleop76
Reef
4L4#7
4L3#4
4L2#3
1L1 · trough#3
16Game pieces#23
BargeRed +10
26Cage & park16
26Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +37
6Foul points24
102Total score139

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9558
#20
30.71.0
28.629.6
Auto6.3
Teleop20.5
End3.9
blue by 17.1
47.81.7
44.446.1
Auto8.9
Teleop31.2
End7.7
Second
28.30.8
26.427.2
Auto4.8
Teleop16.1
End7.4
red by 6.3
22.02.1
20.122.1
Auto4.9
Teleop13.4
End3.7
Third
5065
#34
18.41.0
16.617.6
Auto3.9
Teleop12.1
End2.3
red by 1.5
3302
#41
16.92.1
14.816.8
Auto2.9
Teleop12.1
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
52%Auto oddsEarned11%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
23%Barge oddsEarned47%Barge oddsEarned