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Red80
1065221.8
1067219.3
20135.7
Blue111
836415.9
214548.5
150652.7
4%Model gave it96%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions741305010015020080111

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+25
Teleop+33
Endgame+31
Fouls+31
AutonomousBlue +25
9Leave3
1Coral scored#7
3Coral points34
12Total auto37
TeleoperatedBlue +8
12Coral scored#9
42Coral points34
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#5
6Processor points6
4Net points20
10Algae points26
52Total teleop60
Reef
6L4#5
4L3#5
1L2#3
2L1 · trough#3
15Game pieces#22
BargeRed +2
16Cage & park14
16Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +31
0Foul points0
80Total score111

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
201
#31
35.70.4
35.335.7
Auto8.4
Teleop23.0
End4.3
blue by 17.0
52.70.3
51.451.2
Auto11.9
Teleop32.5
End8.4
Second
21.80.4
19.520.0
Auto3.6
Teleop15.4
End2.9
blue by 26.7
48.50.3
48.047.8
Auto18.1
Teleop26.4
End4.1
Third
19.30.4
19.920.3
Auto5.3
Teleop11.1
End2.9
red by 3.4
8364
#36
15.90.3
15.715.3
Auto3.3
Teleop10.8
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
88%Auto oddsEarned93%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
47%Barge oddsEarned79%Barge oddsEarned