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Qual 742025 FIM District Troy Event presented by Aptiv Foundation
Red143
505333.0
543642.8
436240.8
Blue55
925218.9
977635.9
499822.8
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions117765010015014355

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+21Auto
+78Teleop
+88Endgame
+88Fouls
AutonomousRed +21
3Leave3
6Coral scored#2
30Coral points9
33Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +57
21Coral scored#8
74Coral points27
2Processor algae#1
2Net algae#1
12Processor points6
8Net points4
20Algae points10
94Total teleop37
Reef
12L4#5
7L3#2
5L2#1
3L1 · trough#2
31Game pieces#12
BargeRed +10
16Cage & park6
16Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +88
0Foul points0
143Total score55

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5436
#11
42.82.7
37.3→40.0
Auto8.0
Teleop25.7
End9.0
red by 6.9
9776
#7
35.91.3
33.8→32.5
Auto6.1
Teleop25.6
End4.2
Second
4362
#14
40.82.7
37.5→40.2
Auto10.5
Teleop26.8
End3.5
red by 18.0
4998
#39
22.81.3
21.1→19.8
Auto5.2
Teleop15.3
End2.3
Third
5053
#30
33.03.3
27.5→30.8
Auto6.0
Teleop22.6
End4.4
red by 14.1
9252
#32
18.91.6
19.7→18.1
Auto6.9
Teleop9.6
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
77%Auto oddsEarned80%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
81%Barge oddsEarned43%Barge oddsMissed