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Red103
1069022.0
214548.5
555526.9
Blue151
22651.1
436240.8
562323.1
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1041266080140160180200103151

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
Teleop+46
Endgame+48
Fouls+48
AutonomousBlue +14
9Leave6
3Coral scored#6
14Coral points31
23Total auto37
TeleoperatedBlue +32
14Coral scored#19
50Coral points70
1Processor algae#3
3Net algae#3
6Processor points18
12Net points12
18Algae points30
68Total teleop100
Reef
7L4#11
5L3#5
2L2#4
3L1 · trough#5
21Game pieces#31
BargeBlue +2
12Cage & park14
12Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +48
0Foul points0
103Total score151

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
48.50.1
47.847.6
Auto18.1
Teleop26.4
End4.1
blue by 2.6
226
#2
51.12.0
50.552.6
Auto13.6
Teleop30.4
End7.2
Second
5555
#24
26.90.1
26.726.5
Auto5.0
Teleop20.1
End1.8
blue by 13.9
4362
#14
40.82.0
40.242.2
Auto10.5
Teleop26.8
End3.5
Third
22.00.1
22.122.0
Auto4.9
Teleop13.4
End3.7
blue by 1.1
5623
#21
23.12.0
21.123.1
Auto4.7
Teleop15.6
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
90%Auto oddsEarned83%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
12%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
35%Barge oddsMissed79%Barge oddsEarned