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Red134
353447.8
977635.9
523520.8
Blue94
330216.9
46949.2
499822.8
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11297608012014016013494

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+6Auto
+10Teleop
+32Endgame
+40Fouls
AutonomousRed +6
9Leave3
3Coral scored#3
17Coral points17
26Total auto20
TeleoperatedRed +4
14Coral scored#14
52Coral points52
2Processor algae#2
3Net algae#2
12Processor points12
12Net points8
24Algae points20
76Total teleop72
Reef
8L4#6
3L3#6
3L2#3
3L1 · trough#2
22Game pieces#21
BargeRed +22
24Cage & park2
24Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +40
8Foul points0
134Total score94

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
47.81.4
46.147.5
Auto8.9
Teleop31.2
End7.7
blue by 1.4
469
#15
49.20.1
48.848.8
Auto13.3
Teleop32.7
End3.3
Second
35.91.4
32.533.9
Auto6.1
Teleop25.6
End4.2
red by 13.1
4998
#39
22.80.1
19.819.8
Auto5.2
Teleop15.3
End2.3
Third
5235
#25
20.81.4
17.518.9
Auto5.1
Teleop10.5
End5.3
red by 4.0
3302
#41
16.90.1
16.816.9
Auto2.9
Teleop12.1
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
57%Auto oddsEarned50%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed2%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
80%Barge oddsEarned25%Barge oddsMissed