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Red124
149843.8
1061223.3
505333.0
Blue111
81836.5
955830.7
521419.0
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11910250150200124111

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+3Teleop
+13Endgame
+13Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
6Leave3
4Coral scored#2
20Coral points9
26Total auto12
TeleoperatedBlue +11
14Coral scored#19
50Coral points67
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#3
12Processor points6
12Net points12
24Algae points18
74Total teleop85
Reef
7L4#9
6L3#5
3L2#3
2L1 · trough#4
23Game pieces#25
BargeRed +10
24Cage & park14
24Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +13
0Foul points0
124Total score111

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1498
#10
43.81.2
42.743.8
Auto8.2
Teleop25.6
End10.0
red by 7.2
818
#12
36.51.2
36.137.2
Auto4.8
Teleop29.6
End2.2
Second
5053
#30
33.01.3
30.832.1
Auto6.0
Teleop22.6
End4.4
red by 2.3
9558
#20
30.71.2
29.630.8
Auto6.3
Teleop20.5
End3.9
Third
23.31.2
22.123.3
Auto6.2
Teleop13.8
End3.3
red by 4.3
5214
#35
19.01.2
17.919.0
Auto3.3
Teleop12.0
End3.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
90%Auto oddsEarned78%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
67%Barge oddsEarned33%Barge oddsEarned