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Red107
552721.1
496132.8
543642.8
Blue44
771620.8
975111.7
1067219.3
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1125710015020010744

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
+53Teleop
+63Endgame
+63Fouls
AutonomousRed +4
3Leave6
3Coral scored#1
13Coral points6
16Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +49
16Coral scored#6
57Coral points22
1Processor algae#0
4Net algae#2
6Processor points0
16Net points8
22Algae points8
79Total teleop30
Reef
9L4#2
4L3#3
4L2#1
2L1 · trough#1
24Game pieces#9
BargeRed +10
12Cage & park2
12Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +63
0Foul points0
107Total score44

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5436
#11
42.80.9
40.040.8
Auto8.0
Teleop25.7
End9.0
red by 22.0
7716
#28
20.81.0
21.820.8
Auto4.2
Teleop14.7
End1.8
Second
4961
#18
32.80.9
32.633.5
Auto4.5
Teleop27.5
End0.7
red by 13.5
19.31.0
20.319.3
Auto5.3
Teleop11.1
End2.9
Third
5527
#19
21.10.9
21.622.5
Auto4.4
Teleop14.5
End2.2
red by 9.4
9751
#38
11.70.9
12.611.7
Auto3.9
Teleop5.7
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
86%Auto oddsEarned43%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
54%Barge oddsMissed64%Barge oddsMissed