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Red170
499822.8
3374.6
924555.5
Blue69
496132.8
81836.5
20135.7
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15410520017069

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+23Auto
+81Teleop
+101Endgame
+101Fouls
AutonomousRed +23
6Leave0
7Coral scored#3
33Coral points16
39Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +58
18Coral scored#10
63Coral points37
3Processor algae#1
6Net algae#1
18Processor points6
24Net points4
42Algae points10
105Total teleop47
Reef
10L4#5
8L3#4
3L2#2
4L1 · trough#2
34Game pieces#15
BargeRed +20
26Cage & park6
26Total endgame6
Penalties & totalRed +101
0Foul points0
170Total score69

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33
#1
74.60.6
70.270.8
Auto14.2
Teleop50.4
End10.1
red by 38.1
818
#12
36.50.8
37.236.4
Auto4.8
Teleop29.6
End2.2
Second
55.50.6
51.151.7
Auto12.2
Teleop37.5
End5.7
red by 19.8
201
#31
35.70.8
36.435.5
Auto8.4
Teleop23.0
End4.3
Third
4998
#39
22.80.6
19.820.5
Auto5.2
Teleop15.3
End2.3
blue by 9.9
4961
#18
32.80.8
33.532.6
Auto4.5
Teleop27.5
End0.7