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Red161
46949.2
353447.8
555526.9
Blue116
543642.8
977635.9
523520.8
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14410350200161116

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+11Auto
+57Teleop
+45Endgame
+45Fouls
AutonomousRed +11
0Leave6
7Coral scored#3
34Coral points17
34Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +46
18Coral scored#14
65Coral points51
3Processor algae#1
8Net algae#3
18Processor points6
32Net points12
50Algae points18
115Total teleop69
Reef
11L4#6
4L3#5
6L2#3
4L1 · trough#3
36Game pieces#21
BargeBlue +12
12Cage & park24
12Total endgame24
Penalties & totalRed +45
0Foul points0
161Total score116

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
469
#15
49.20.8
48.849.7
Auto13.3
Teleop32.7
End3.3
red by 6.4
5436
#11
42.80.5
40.841.3
Auto8.0
Teleop25.7
End9.0
Second
47.80.8
47.548.3
Auto8.9
Teleop31.2
End7.7
red by 11.9
35.90.5
33.934.4
Auto6.1
Teleop25.6
End4.2
Third
5555
#24
26.90.8
26.527.4
Auto5.0
Teleop20.1
End1.8
red by 6.1
5235
#25
20.80.5
18.919.4
Auto5.1
Teleop10.5
End5.3