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Red90
552721.1
436240.8
22651.1
Blue142
149843.8
955830.7
872841.4
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13913910012016018090142

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+28
Endgame+46
Fouls+52
AutonomousBlue +3
3Leave3
4Coral scored#5
20Coral points23
23Total auto26
TeleoperatedBlue +25
11Coral scored#17
39Coral points62
1Processor algae#2
4Net algae#3
6Processor points12
16Net points12
22Algae points24
61Total teleop86
Reef
5L4#10
5L3#5
2L2#3
3L1 · trough#4
20Game pieces#27
BargeBlue +18
6Cage & park24
6Total endgame24
Penalties & totalBlue +52
0Foul points6
90Total score142

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
226
#2
51.11.1
52.651.5
Auto13.6
Teleop30.4
End7.2
red by 7.4
1498
#10
43.80.1
43.843.7
Auto8.2
Teleop25.6
End10.0
Second
4362
#14
40.81.1
42.241.2
Auto10.5
Teleop26.8
End3.5
blue by 0.6
41.40.1
41.541.4
Auto8.6
Teleop30.4
End2.4
Third
5527
#19
21.11.1
22.521.4
Auto4.4
Teleop14.5
End2.2
blue by 9.7
9558
#20
30.70.1
30.830.7
Auto6.3
Teleop20.5
End3.9