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Red172
499822.8
3374.6
924555.5
Blue137
150652.7
505333.0
214548.5
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions156140100120180200220240172137

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+1
+41Teleop
+31Endgame
+35Fouls
AutonomousBlue +1
9Leave0
7Coral scored#9
34Coral points44
43Total auto44
TeleoperatedRed +42
23Coral scored#11
81Coral points39
3Processor algae#3
3Net algae#3
18Processor points18
12Net points12
30Algae points30
111Total teleop69
Reef
12L4#5
9L3#7
4L2#5
5L1 · trough#3
36Game pieces#26
BargeBlue +10
14Cage & park24
14Total endgame24
Penalties & totalRed +35
4Foul points0
172Total score137

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33
#1
74.60.5
72.072.5
Auto14.2
Teleop50.4
End10.1
red by 21.9
52.70.1
52.652.6
Auto11.9
Teleop32.5
End8.4
Second
55.50.5
52.953.3
Auto12.2
Teleop37.5
End5.7
red by 7.0
48.50.1
48.448.5
Auto18.1
Teleop26.4
End4.1
Third
4998
#39
22.80.5
21.622.1
Auto5.2
Teleop15.3
End2.3
blue by 10.2
5053
#30
33.00.1
32.933.0
Auto6.0
Teleop22.6
End4.4