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Red122
543642.8
977635.9
523520.8
Blue142
46949.2
353447.8
555526.9
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10514250150200122142

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+22
Endgame+14
Fouls+20
AutonomousBlue +7
3Leave0
3Coral scored#5
16Coral points26
19Total auto26
TeleoperatedBlue +15
15Coral scored#20
53Coral points72
3Processor algae#1
2Net algae#4
18Processor points6
8Net points16
26Algae points22
79Total teleop94
Reef
6L4#9
3L3#5
5L2#7
4L1 · trough#4
23Game pieces#30
BargeRed +8
24Cage & park16
24Total endgame16
Penalties & totalBlue +20
0Foul points6
122Total score142

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5436
#11
42.80.5
42.342.8
Auto8.0
Teleop25.7
End9.0
blue by 6.4
469
#15
49.20.3
49.049.3
Auto13.3
Teleop32.7
End3.3
Second
35.90.5
35.435.9
Auto6.1
Teleop25.6
End4.2
blue by 11.9
47.80.3
47.647.9
Auto8.9
Teleop31.2
End7.7
Third
5235
#25
20.80.5
20.320.8
Auto5.1
Teleop10.5
End5.3
blue by 6.1
5555
#24
26.90.3
26.727.0
Auto5.0
Teleop20.1
End1.8