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Red195
499822.8
3374.6
924555.5
Blue99
46949.2
353447.8
555526.9
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1571335010020025019599

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+5Auto
+90Teleop
+102Endgame
+96Fouls
AutonomousRed +5
6Leave6
5Coral scored#4
26Coral points21
32Total auto27
TeleoperatedRed +85
28Coral scored#10
99Coral points36
2Processor algae#1
7Net algae#3
12Processor points6
28Net points12
40Algae points18
139Total teleop54
Reef
13L4#3
10L3#5
5L2#4
5L1 · trough#2
42Game pieces#18
BargeRed +12
24Cage & park12
24Total endgame12
Penalties & totalRed +96
0Foul points6
195Total score99

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33
#1
74.61.2
70.872.0
Auto14.2
Teleop50.4
End10.1
red by 25.4
469
#15
49.20.7
49.749.0
Auto13.3
Teleop32.7
End3.3
Second
55.51.2
51.752.9
Auto12.2
Teleop37.5
End5.7
red by 7.7
47.80.7
48.347.6
Auto8.9
Teleop31.2
End7.7
Third
4998
#39
22.81.2
20.521.6
Auto5.2
Teleop15.3
End2.3
blue by 4.1
5555
#24
26.90.7
27.426.7
Auto5.0
Teleop20.1
End1.8