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Red160
149843.8
955830.7
872841.4
Blue192
150652.7
505333.0
214548.5
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13315350100200250160192

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+21
Teleop+28
Endgame+30
Fouls+32
AutonomousBlue +21
3Leave9
5Coral scored#8
23Coral points38
26Total auto47
TeleoperatedBlue +7
24Coral scored#26
86Coral points93
2Processor algae#2
3Net algae#3
12Processor points12
12Net points12
24Algae points24
110Total teleop117
Reef
12L4#10
8L3#15
6L2#5
3L1 · trough#4
34Game pieces#39
BargeBlue +2
24Cage & park26
24Total endgame26
Penalties & totalBlue +32
0Foul points2
160Total score192

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1498
#10
43.80.6
43.744.3
Auto8.2
Teleop25.6
End10.0
blue by 8.9
52.71.0
51.652.6
Auto11.9
Teleop32.5
End8.4
Second
41.40.6
41.442.0
Auto8.6
Teleop30.4
End2.4
blue by 7.1
48.51.0
47.448.4
Auto18.1
Teleop26.4
End4.1
Third
9558
#20
30.70.6
30.731.3
Auto6.3
Teleop20.5
End3.9
blue by 2.3
5053
#30
33.01.0
31.932.9
Auto6.0
Teleop22.6
End4.4