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Red84
171135.0
508632.3
524719.5
Blue70
97368.3
887336.2
519326.7
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7963020401001208470

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+6Teleop
+14Endgame
+14Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
9Leave6
3Coral scored#1
14Coral points3
23Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +8
9Coral scored#11
33Coral points41
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#2
6Processor points6
8Net points8
14Algae points14
47Total teleop55
Reef
5L4#3
3L3#4
3L2#3
1L1 · trough#2
15Game pieces#15
BargeRed +8
14Cage & park6
14Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +14
0Foul points0
84Total score70

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1711
#11
35.00.8
22.122.8
Auto8.8
Teleop20.7
End5.6
blue by 1.2
36.20.8
23.023.8
Auto3.1
Teleop26.1
End7.0
Second
32.30.8
32.032.7
Auto6.1
Teleop18.8
End7.4
red by 5.6
5193
#20
26.71.3
22.223.6
Auto3.0
Teleop22.6
End1.1
Third
5247
#26
19.50.8
18.619.4
Auto4.0
Teleop12.0
End3.5
red by 11.2
9736
#35
8.31.3
12.714.1
Auto2.8
Teleop3.9
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
59%Auto oddsEarned45%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
77%Barge oddsEarned20%Barge oddsMissed