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Red69
498320.1
224616.8
716026.9
Blue87
439841.6
482719.0
542427.6
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions62722040801001206987

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+4
Endgame+6
Fouls+18
Autonomouslevel
0Leave3
2Coral scored#1
9Coral points6
9Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +4
9Coral scored#13
34Coral points46
2Processor algae#2
3Net algae#1
12Processor points12
12Net points4
24Algae points16
58Total teleop62
Reef
3L4#6
4L3#3
3L2#2
1L1 · trough#3
16Game pieces#17
BargeBlue +2
2Cage & park4
2Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +18
0Foul points12
69Total score87

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7160
#32
26.90.9
23.424.3
Auto3.9
Teleop20.3
End2.7
blue by 14.7
4398
#19
41.60.8
22.323.1
Auto6.3
Teleop33.6
End1.6
Second
4983
#15
20.10.5
15.816.3
Auto5.4
Teleop13.1
End1.6
blue by 7.4
5424
#17
27.60.8
23.724.4
Auto4.3
Teleop20.2
End3.1
Third
2246
#23
16.80.5
16.416.9
Auto2.5
Teleop11.2
End3.2
blue by 2.2
4827
#30
19.00.5
16.416.9
Auto4.4
Teleop14.2
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
59%Auto oddsMissed41%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
22%Barge oddsMissed17%Barge oddsMissed