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Red94
553438.6
519326.7
511033.7
Blue62
954120.5
361826.5
779418.7
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions98552040801201401609462

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+1Auto
+10Teleop
+32Endgame
+32Fouls
AutonomousRed +1
0Leave3
3Coral scored#2
13Coral points9
13Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +9
9Coral scored#9
33Coral points34
1Processor algae#0
4Net algae#3
6Processor points0
16Net points12
22Algae points12
55Total teleop46
Reef
4L4#4
4L3#3
3L2#2
1L1 · trough#2
17Game pieces#14
BargeRed +22
26Cage & park4
26Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +32
0Foul points0
94Total score62

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
38.60.6
32.633.2
Auto5.4
Teleop27.8
End5.3
red by 12.1
26.50.3
17.718.0
Auto6.7
Teleop17.9
End1.9
Second
33.70.6
26.527.0
Auto4.6
Teleop23.7
End5.5
red by 13.2
9541
#22
20.50.3
19.820.1
Auto5.6
Teleop13.2
End1.7
Third
5193
#20
26.70.9
23.624.5
Auto3.0
Teleop22.6
End1.1
red by 8.0
7794
#39
18.70.3
17.517.8
Auto4.3
Teleop11.9
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
52%Auto oddsEarned74%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
9%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
30%Barge oddsEarned23%Barge oddsMissed