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Red65
608730.6
556017.0
524719.5
Blue25
780810.4
377030.9
917628.3
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6679020401001201406525

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+40Teleop
+40Endgame
+40Fouls
Autonomouslevel
0Leave9
2Coral scored#0
9Coral points0
9Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +40
10Coral scored#2
36Coral points6
1Processor algae#0
2Net algae#1
6Processor points0
8Net points4
14Algae points4
50Total teleop10
Reef
4L4#1
4L3#1
2L2#0
2L1 · trough#0
15Game pieces#3
Bargelevel
6Cage & park6
6Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +40
0Foul points0
65Total score25

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6087
#14
30.60.3
26.426.8
Auto4.8
Teleop23.3
End2.5
blue by 0.3
30.94.7
27.622.9
Auto3.2
Teleop21.8
End5.9
Second
5247
#26
19.50.3
19.419.7
Auto4.0
Teleop12.0
End3.5
blue by 8.8
9176
#25
28.34.7
26.221.5
Auto3.6
Teleop20.0
End4.7
Third
5560
#21
17.00.3
14.014.3
Auto3.6
Teleop12.6
End0.9
red by 6.7
7808
#37
10.44.7
13.68.9
Auto4.6
Teleop3.6
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
31%Auto oddsMissed46%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
23%Barge oddsMissed44%Barge oddsMissed