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Red50
508632.3
97368.3
71557.3
Blue85
778229.0
607729.6
977125.2
35%Model gave it65%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions57642040801005085

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+47
Endgame+35
Fouls+35
AutonomousBlue +3
0Leave0
2Coral scored#2
9Coral points12
9Total auto12
TeleoperatedBlue +44
4Coral scored#11
15Coral points39
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#6
6Processor points6
4Net points24
10Algae points30
25Total teleop69
Reef
2L4#4
2L3#3
1L2#4
1L1 · trough#2
8Game pieces#20
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +35
0Foul points0
50Total score85

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
32.30.1
32.732.7
Auto6.1
Teleop18.8
End7.4
red by 2.7
6077
#16
29.63.1
20.623.8
Auto2.5
Teleop20.7
End6.3
Second
9736
#35
8.30.1
14.113.9
Auto2.8
Teleop3.9
End1.7
blue by 20.7
7782
#13
29.01.9
21.523.4
Auto5.4
Teleop22.4
End1.2
Third
7155
#34
7.30.1
4.54.4
Auto3.6
Teleop2.3
End1.4
blue by 17.9
9771
#18
25.21.9
14.516.4
Auto5.8
Teleop18.5
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
31%Auto oddsMissed38%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
40%Barge oddsEarned15%Barge oddsMissed