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Red59
432724.2
550412.0
521311.2
Blue83
171135.0
1060522.2
779040.0
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions60912040801001201405983

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+20
Teleop+26
Endgame+24
Fouls+24
AutonomousBlue +20
3Leave3
1Coral scored#5
3Coral points23
6Total auto26
TeleoperatedBlue +6
9Coral scored#10
31Coral points37
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#3
6Processor points6
12Net points12
18Algae points18
49Total teleop55
Reef
3L4#5
3L3#4
3L2#4
1L1 · trough#2
14Game pieces#19
BargeRed +2
4Cage & park2
4Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +24
0Foul points0
59Total score83

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4327
#28
24.20.8
22.221.4
Auto4.8
Teleop18.3
End1.1
blue by 15.8
40.00.4
31.330.9
Auto6.9
Teleop26.5
End6.5
Second
5504
#38
12.01.3
13.412.1
Auto1.8
Teleop6.3
End3.9
blue by 23.0
1711
#11
35.00.4
22.822.4
Auto8.8
Teleop20.7
End5.6
Third
5213
#40
11.21.3
16.915.6
Auto1.7
Teleop7.1
End2.4
blue by 10.9
22.20.6
19.719.1
Auto5.3
Teleop16.0
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
15%Auto oddsMissed70%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
32%Barge oddsMissed83%Barge oddsMissed