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Red74
719530.6
608730.6
361826.5
Blue71
482719.0
368834.6
1060522.2
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions686201002003004007471

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+1Auto
+9Teleop
+3Endgame
+3Fouls
AutonomousRed +1
9Leave6
1Coral scored#2
7Coral points9
16Total auto15
TeleoperatedRed +8
9Coral scored#11
34Coral points38
1Processor algae#1
4Net algae#1
6Processor points6
16Net points4
22Algae points10
56Total teleop48
Reef
3L4#4
3L3#4
3L2#3
1L1 · trough#2
15Game pieces#15
BargeBlue +6
2Cage & park8
2Total endgame8
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +3
0Foul points0
74Total score71

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6087
#14
30.60.9
25.926.9
Auto4.8
Teleop23.3
End2.5
blue by 3.9
34.61.0
21.522.6
Auto4.6
Teleop26.2
End3.8
Second
7195
#10
30.60.9
17.918.8
Auto6.0
Teleop20.0
End4.5
red by 8.4
22.23.5
23.119.5
Auto5.3
Teleop16.0
End0.9
Third
26.50.9
15.916.9
Auto6.7
Teleop17.9
End1.9
red by 7.4
4827
#30
19.01.0
16.117.1
Auto4.4
Teleop14.2
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
39%Auto oddsEarned24%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
36%Barge oddsMissed21%Barge oddsMissed