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Red65
542427.6
71557.3
511033.7
Blue56
759813.7
78556.9
779040.0
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions686002040801001206556

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
+7Teleop
Endgame+3
+9Fouls
AutonomousBlue +3
6Leave6
0Coral scored#1
0Coral points3
6Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +10
9Coral scored#6
33Coral points23
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#1
6Processor points6
4Net points4
10Algae points10
43Total teleop33
Reef
3L4#2
3L3#2
2L2#2
1L1 · trough#1
11Game pieces#9
BargeBlue +10
4Cage & park14
4Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +9
12Foul points0
65Total score56

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.70.8
26.525.6
Auto4.6
Teleop23.7
End5.5
blue by 6.3
40.00.2
29.529.3
Auto6.9
Teleop26.5
End6.5
Second
5424
#17
27.61.3
26.625.2
Auto4.3
Teleop20.2
End3.1
red by 13.9
7598
#33
13.70.3
17.317.0
Auto2.3
Teleop9.7
End1.7
Third
7155
#34
7.30.8
6.05.2
Auto3.6
Teleop2.3
End1.4
red by 0.4
7855
#36
6.90.2
6.66.4
Auto2.3
Teleop4.3
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
46%Auto oddsMissed43%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
22%Barge oddsMissed32%Barge oddsEarned