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Red76
954120.5
977125.2
780810.4
Blue71
779418.7
779040.0
550412.0
18%Model gave it82%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions48710204060801001207671

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+11Teleop
+11Endgame
+5Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
9Leave3
2Coral scored#2
10Coral points9
19Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +4
8Coral scored#8
27Coral points27
2Processor algae#2
3Net algae#2
12Processor points12
12Net points8
24Algae points20
51Total teleop47
Reef
4L4#4
3L3#3
2L2#2
1L1 · trough#1
15Game pieces#14
Bargelevel
6Cage & park6
6Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +5
0Foul points6
76Total score71

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9771
#18
25.22.0
16.418.5
Auto5.8
Teleop18.5
End1.0
blue by 14.8
40.00.3
30.931.2
Auto6.9
Teleop26.5
End6.5
Second
9541
#22
20.52.0
20.122.1
Auto5.6
Teleop13.2
End1.7
red by 1.8
7794
#39
18.70.3
17.818.1
Auto4.3
Teleop11.9
End2.5
Third
7808
#37
10.43.4
8.912.3
Auto4.6
Teleop3.6
End2.2
blue by 1.6
5504
#38
12.00.5
12.112.6
Auto1.8
Teleop6.3
End3.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
51%Auto oddsEarned65%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
13%Barge oddsMissed46%Barge oddsMissed