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Red104
498320.1
778229.0
439841.6
Blue64
482719.0
511033.7
556017.0
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions686430405060809010011010464

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+40Teleop
+40Endgame
+40Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
6Leave9
3Coral scored#1
13Coral points3
19Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +33
17Coral scored#9
61Coral points34
2Processor algae#1
2Net algae#2
12Processor points6
8Net points8
20Algae points14
81Total teleop48
Reef
8L4#4
7L3#3
3L2#2
2L1 · trough#1
24Game pieces#13
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +40
0Foul points0
104Total score64

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4398
#19
41.64.6
23.127.7
Auto6.3
Teleop33.6
End1.6
red by 7.9
33.70.4
27.027.4
Auto4.6
Teleop23.7
End5.5
Second
7782
#13
29.02.7
23.426.1
Auto5.4
Teleop22.4
End1.2
red by 10.0
4827
#30
19.00.4
16.917.3
Auto4.4
Teleop14.2
End0.4
Third
4983
#15
20.12.7
16.319.0
Auto5.4
Teleop13.1
End1.6
red by 3.1
5560
#21
17.00.4
14.314.7
Auto3.6
Teleop12.6
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
86%Auto oddsEarned52%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
7%Barge oddsMissed18%Barge oddsMissed