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Red74
78556.9
376754.1
608730.6
Blue93
361826.5
553438.6
917628.3
76%Model gave it24%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions92772040601001207493

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+8Auto
+7Teleop
Endgame+13
Fouls+19
AutonomousRed +8
6Leave0
3Coral scored#2
14Coral points12
20Total auto12
TeleoperatedBlue +1
8Coral scored#10
30Coral points35
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#2
6Processor points6
12Net points8
18Algae points14
48Total teleop49
Reef
5L4#5
2L3#3
2L2#2
2L1 · trough#2
15Game pieces#15
BargeBlue +20
6Cage & park26
6Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +19
0Foul points6
74Total score93

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
54.10.4
46.546.1
Auto11.1
Teleop37.5
End5.4
red by 15.5
38.61.0
33.234.1
Auto5.4
Teleop27.8
End5.3
Second
6087
#14
30.60.4
26.826.4
Auto4.8
Teleop23.3
End2.5
red by 2.3
9176
#25
28.31.6
21.523.0
Auto3.6
Teleop20.0
End4.7
Third
7855
#36
6.90.4
6.86.4
Auto2.3
Teleop4.3
End0.2
blue by 19.5
26.51.0
18.019.0
Auto6.7
Teleop17.9
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
52%Auto oddsMissed47%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed9%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
46%Barge oddsMissed39%Barge oddsEarned